We’ve done plenty of player breakdowns in the NFL futures market, it sure seems fitting for us to transition to a few of the teams we have our eye on this season.
The first foray into that area of football will be a look at which divisions seem to be the most competitive this season, judged by the odds available on which division wins the Super Bowl this season.
Odds for which division will house the Super Bowl winner
Found under Futures – Champion Specials on DraftKings
- AFC North (+425)
- NFC West (+450)
- AFC West (+500)
- AFC East (+500)
- NFC North (+600)
- NFC East (+650)
- NFC South (+750)
- AFC South (+800)
Digging into this market can be an interesting study, and it’s a good way to think about the NFL futures market as a viable way to invest in the season, and hedge along the way should opportunities present themselves.
For example, Kansas City is +550 to win the Super Bowl. They are really the only viable contender we see this season, so there’s no real value in backing the AFC West at +500, just back the Chiefs to win their third in a row (if you feel so inclined).
There’s a similar argument to be made that the only team out of the AFC South to offer us value as a true Super Bowl champ this year is Houston, who you can bet at +1600. That’s a far more appealing option than the division at +800.
When considering a division to back, you need options. Ideally, you’re sitting here in the Divisional Round of the playoffs with two teams from that division still alive. That’s when you can begin weighing some hedge options. To us, there’s two divisions in particular we expect to be heavily involved come January.
Our two favorite divisions to back
NFC North (+600)
I for one love the value we’re getting here on the NFC North. The division had the Detroit Lions on the doorstep last season, and the Green Bay Packers also out-performed expectations with Jordan Love at the helm and were up heading into the fourth quarter in the divisional round.
The Lions are well-positioned to run it back, and Green Bay has a tremendous young core that has allowed them to spend big this offseason to beef up the rest of their roster.